Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (95% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 4 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1900.00 (+1900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability5.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +2.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability5%
Resolves in3d
Active tradingVol: 24.6% → 11.9%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
Related Markets1
AI Brief
Tisza is near-consensus to win 70 or more seats in Hungary's April 12 election, driven by strong polling against the incumbent Fidesz government. This outcome would position the opposition party as a major parliamentary force capable of leading coalition negotiations. Election day is the immediate catalyst, with final results expected within 48 hours of voting.