About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.2%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice stable for 22 days
- Price moved -0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$17K
Liquidity$30K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 0.0% → 3.5%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
Related Markets1
AI Brief
Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure is priced at 0% despite ongoing Houthi maritime disruption, with both the March 31 expired deadline and low liquidity ($20K) indicating this is a dead market for a catalyst that never materialized. The negligible volume confirms no active trader interest in what was likely Yemen shipping speculation.