Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +4.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$170K
Liquidity$251K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 16.4% → 7.4%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert