Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in21d
Low VolatilityVol: 3.9% → 2.4%
21 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
The market asks whether at least four FOMC members will dissent from the April 2026 Fed decision, with 98% consensus against dissent reflecting the Fed's historical tendency toward cohesion on rate decisions. The April meeting is the immediate catalyst; traders see strong alignment on policy direction. Low volume suggests limited speculative interest.