Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -2.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -2.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$15K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 10.8% → 6.4%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals