About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 36% YES. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$177.78 (+178%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability36.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +23.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +23.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 35.3% from 21.4% baseline — 65% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$3K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability36%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 27.6% → 11.9%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.7