About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +1.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 4.7% from 2.5% baseline — 89% shift
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 24.6% → 10.7%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=10.4