Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 76%. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$31.58 (+32%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability76.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -7.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -7.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$12K
Current Probability76%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 5.8% → 3.2%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets1