Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 84% NO. Momentum is strong up. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$525.00 (+525%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability16.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +5.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +5.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability16%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 19.1% → 8.5%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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