Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 32% YES. Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$212.50 (+213%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability32.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: -4.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price dropped -4.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$17K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability32%
Resolves in17d
Low VolatilityVol: 43.5% → 18.3%
18 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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