
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 80%.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$25.00 (+25%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability80.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +4.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 16 days
- Price jumped +4.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$12K
Liquidity$6K
Current Probability80%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 3.0% → 2.1%
20 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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