Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (92% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1150.00 (+1150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability8.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Price move: Price moved down to 8.6% from 10.0% baseline — 15% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$13K
Current Probability8%
Resolves in18d
Low VolatilityVol: 8.2% → 4.2%
19 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.6