Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 44% YES. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$127.27 (+127%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability44.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +4.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +4.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$47K
Liquidity$20K
Current Probability44%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 8.0% → 4.1%
22 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
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AI Brief
Kharg Island oil terminal strike by April 30 prices at 44% YES, 56% NO, indicating near-even odds on military escalation within the April window. The +1.0% move is modest, suggesting equilibrium pricing despite the volatile geopolitical backdrop and potential supply shock significance.