Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 35% YES. Momentum is rising. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$185.71 (+186%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability35.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +11.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +11.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$141K
Liquidity$20K
Current Probability35%
Resolves in7d
Active tradingVol: 16.1% → 8.5%
7d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
The Kharg Island oil terminal being hit by April 15 is priced at 31%, with a sharp +9.5% jump signaling rising concern about Middle East escalation risks. The catalyst is very soon (April 15, 9 days away), making this time-sensitive for traders. The price move reflects recent geopolitical tension, potential Israeli operations, and broader Iran-related conflict scenarios under current administration policies.