About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.9%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$1K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability2%
Resolves inTBD
No end dateVol: 12.3% → 7.0%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Market is essentially certain SpaceX will be valued above $1.0T on IPO (99% no on below-$1T outcome), with minimal volume ($3.5K) reflecting consensus so strong it's already priced in. This acts as a floor, anchoring the broader SpaceX valuation discussion. Catalyst: any indication SpaceX IPO is delayed indefinitely or at severely depressed valuation.