About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (93% NO). Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1328.57 (+1329%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability7.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -4.2%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice stable for 13 days
- Price dropped -4.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$11K
Current Probability7%
Resolves inTBD
No end dateVol: 2.7% → 3.2%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
Related Markets7
AI Brief
Only 8% of traders believe SpaceX lands in the ultra-bullish $3.0T-$3.5T range on IPO day, despite hype around the company. The extreme consensus against this outcome reflects regulatory headwinds and profit concerns that could cap post-IPO momentum. This market prices in a reality check on $3T+ valuations.