About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 89% NO. Momentum is strong down. Predominantly retail flow.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$733.33 (+733%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability12.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -16.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: FRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price dropped -16.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability12%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 28.3% → 12.2%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert