About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO). Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -9.4%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -9.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$14K
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 58.3% → 24.2%
633 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert