About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$122K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 6.1% → 3.4%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets17
AI Brief
Ethereum reaching $3,400 in April is 1% odds with $92K liquidity, a near-total dismissal requiring a 70% rally in 25 days. This extreme out-of-the-money contract attracts only long-shot speculators; no directional conviction supports this level.