About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 38% YES. Momentum is strong up. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$163.16 (+163%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability38.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong up24h Price Change: +8.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice forming
- Price jumped +8.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong up
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 37.2% from 32.6% baseline — 14% shift
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$61K
Liquidity$60K
Current Probability38%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 6.2% → 3.4%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
The market prices a 67% probability that Ethereum won't dip below $1,800 through April, down from its recent -3% 24h decline. This suggests the market sees near-term support around $1,800, though some pullback risk is embedded in the 38% YES probability. Broader crypto sentiment and macro headwinds will drive the outcome.
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.8