About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.3%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.3pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$14K
Liquidity$68K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 6.2% → 3.4%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Ethereum hitting $3,200 in April is a 2% long shot requiring a 75%+ surge from current levels with just weeks to expiration. The market assigns near-zero probability to such an extreme move, though high liquidity suggests some tail-risk hedging activity.