About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.6%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.6pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$83K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 5.6% → 3.1%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Ethereum needs to rally roughly 75% from current levels to clear $2,800 with only 25 days remaining—a consensus of 94% NO reflects the technical difficulty and proximity to expiry. Volume remains steady at $83K despite remote odds, suggesting some volatility traders are hedging April tail risk.