About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 85% NO. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$525.00 (+525%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability16.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -6.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -6.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$14K
Liquidity$87K
Current Probability16%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 12.7% → 6.0%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Ethereum reaching $2,600 in April carries 21% odds with recent upward momentum (+6.5% in 24h), suggesting traders see moderate but not high conviction for a rally of 20-30% by month-end. The 6.5% daily move signals renewed bullish interest after a period of consolidation.