About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 35% YES. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$185.71 (+186%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability35.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -14.5%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -14.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$8K
Liquidity$68K
Current Probability35%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 10.3% → 5.0%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets18
AI Brief
Ethereum hitting $2,400 in April is a near-toss-up at 35% YES/65% NO with $13K daily volume, making this the most active relative-value bet in the Ethereum strike ladder. The 11% daily move on this contract reflects rising conviction as April progresses; nearest catalyst is technical support/resistance at $2,300–$2,500.