About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.1%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$117K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in23d
Low VolatilityVol: 6.9% → 3.7%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets17
AI Brief
Ethereum dipping to $800 carries 1% odds, essentially ruling out a 60%+ crash scenario in April despite $14.5K daily volume. The market is assigning near-zero probability to catastrophic liquidation cascades or flash-crash events.