About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.2%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.2pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Price move: Price moved up to 0.7% from 0.7% baseline — 12% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$792
Liquidity$30K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in19d
Low VolatilityVol: 5.7% → 3.2%
20 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets10
Anomalies
CriticalPricez=3.8