About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (94% NO). Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1566.67 (+1567%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability6.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -6.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -6.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$7K
Liquidity$17K
Current Probability6%
Resolves in22d
Low VolatilityVol: 9.6% → 4.7%
23 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets7
AI Brief
XRP dipping to $1.00 by April 30 priced at 17% despite yesterday's +3.5% rally, implying current price near $1.10-1.15 with meaningful downside risk still reflected in the market. Month-end window remains the driver.