
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (90% NO). Momentum is falling. Predominantly retail flow. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$900.00 (+900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability10.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: +2.9%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: DRetail pressurePrice forming
- Price jumped +2.9pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Retail pressure observed
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$224
Current Probability10%
Resolves inEnded
No end dateVol: 65.1% → 28.1%
No resolution date. Volatility follows news flow.
News-driven — enter on signal, size down for uncertainty
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