Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 73% NO. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$270.37 (+270%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability27.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: +0.8%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.8pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$6K
Liquidity$6K
Current Probability27%
Resolves in5h
Final hourVol: 10.7% → 4.6%
Last 5h. Price nearly settled. Minimal movement expected.
Near settlement — exit window or hold to resolution
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