Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 85% NO. Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 7 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$525.00 (+525%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability16.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActivePrice stable for 4 days
- Price moved -1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$21K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability16%
Resolves in6d
Active tradingVol: 0.0% → 3.5%
6d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
The market prices Elon Musk hitting 260-279 tweets during April 7-14 at just 14%, implying traders expect his posting rate to fall short of this threshold in the coming week. With resolution arriving in days, this is nearly a binary event dependent entirely on Musk's actual tweeting behavior over the next few days. The low YES probability suggests the target represents a high bar relative to his typical weekly posting patterns.