Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 71%. Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed. Resolves in under 24 hours.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$40.85 (+41%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability71.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +5.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowFresh market
- Price jumped +5.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Price move: Price moved up to 70.1% from 61.6% baseline — 14% shift
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$11K
Liquidity$7K
Current Probability71%
Resolves in7h
ConvergenceVol: 8.5% → 7.0%
Last 7h. Prices converging sharply toward resolution.
Convergence starting — sharp moves likely in next 24h
Related Markets1
Anomalies
WarningPricez=2.8