Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$26K
Liquidity$288K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 32.8% → 15.2%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
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AI Brief
Toroczkai has zero odds to become Hungary's next PM, consistent with his marginalized position in Hungarian right-wing politics despite some far-right support. His exclusion from serious coalition calculations is reflected in the massive depth at 0%, indicating no trader conviction in his path to power.