Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: ALarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (257d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$290K
Liquidity$345K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 0.0% → 3.5%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
Related Markets5
AI Brief
Kapitány has zero probability of becoming Hungary's next PM, reflecting his fringe status in current coalition discussions. The April 12 election resolves which of the more viable candidates (Magyar, Orbán, or others) will lead. This market essentially trades on tail-risk scenarios given his near-irrelevant position in Hungarian politics.