Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveMature market (253d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Large trader flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$59K
Liquidity$75K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
74 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
Germán Vargas Lleras holds zero probability for Colombia's June 21 presidential election, indicating the market has rejected this candidate entirely in favor of other contenders in what appears to be a fragmented race.