About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (92% NO). Momentum is rising. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$1150.00 (+1150%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability8.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +2.7%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price jumped +2.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$19K
Liquidity$24K
Current Probability8%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 4.2% → 2.6%
56 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets11
AI Brief
Park Ju-min is a 7% underdog in Seoul's June 3 mayoral election, suggesting the market views him as having minimal odds against the consensus favorite. Liquidity of $19.2K is adequate but tight, typical for regional elections outside the capital's most closely watched races. Minor downside movement (-0.3%) indicates gradual erosion of support, with two months for campaign dynamics to shift.