About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$25K
Liquidity$86K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
56 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets11
AI Brief
Complete market rejection of Park's candidacy reflects Seoul's political mainstream; at 1% YES, the market sees this as a longshot candidate with negligible polling support ahead of the June 3 election. The probability should converge to 0% or spike to 10%+ only if surprise polling emerges in the final weeks.