About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$42K
Liquidity$101K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
56 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets11
AI Brief
Seo Young-kyo's 1% probability in the June 2026 Seoul mayoral race indicates the market views this candidate as a longshot against more established contenders in South Korea's competitive municipal elections. The low liquidity and thin market suggest limited trader conviction or international interest in this local race.