About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$9900.00 (+9900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability1.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowMature market (146d)
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$43K
Liquidity$83K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in1mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
56 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets11
AI Brief
Cho Kuk is priced at 1% to win Seoul's mayoral race on June 3, indicating strong consensus behind incumbent or other frontrunners in South Korea's high-stakes local election, with 2+ months of campaigning ahead to shift these odds.