Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (98% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 3 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$4900.00 (+4900%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability2.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.7%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved -0.7pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$30K
Liquidity$67K
Current Probability2%
Resolves in2d
ConvergenceVol: 10.8% → 7.9%
63h to resolution. Convergence zone — prices move toward 0 or 100.
Late entry — expensive but high conviction