Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (97% NO). Informed flow observed. Resolves in 5 days.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +0.1%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: BInformed flowPrice forming
- Price moved +0.1pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: steady
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$39K
Liquidity$76K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in4d
Active tradingVol: 8.9% → 5.7%
4d to resolution. Active trading window — peak volatility expected.
Momentum building — watch for breakout signals
Related Markets15
AI Brief
Jorge Nieto sits at 3% for the Peruvian election resolving April 12—just five days away—effectively eliminating him from contention in the eyes of market participants. The ultra-low probability signals consensus around other frontrunners with substantially higher viability.