Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (100% NO). Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$-100.00 (-100%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability0.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: FlatVolume trend: coolingLiquidity: BInformed flowOutflowPrice stable for 74 days
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$16K
Current Probability<1%
Resolves in20d
Low VolatilityVol: 0.0% → 1.5%
20 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets2
AI Brief
The BoJ is virtually certain to hold rates at its April meeting, with the market pricing zero probability of a rate cut despite ongoing deflation concerns in Japan. The near-term catalyst is the April 28 decision, but market participants see no case for easing in the near term.