Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
Market strongly expects NO (99% NO). Informed flow observed.
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- Price moved +0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
The Bank of Japan is priced at just 1% odds for a 50+ basis point rate hike after the April meeting, with the market heavily skeptical the BoJ will move that aggressively given its historically gradual approach to tightening. The 99% NO consensus reflects expectations for either a smaller hike or no move at all, with the catalyst being the actual April 2026 meeting outcome in roughly three weeks. Limited volume ($10K) suggests modest interest in this particular threshold bet.