No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
Outcome uncertain — market split near 38% YES. Informed flow observed.
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
- Price moved +0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
The market is pricing the probability of the Bank of Japan holding rates unchanged at its April 28 meeting, with the NO side (66%) commanding strong consensus—indicating traders expect the BOJ to deliver a rate hike or policy adjustment. The 5% decline in the YES price over 24 hours reflects recent momentum toward tightening expectations, likely driven by persistent inflation pressures and global rate divergence. The catalyst is the April BOJ policy decision itself on April 28th; any hawkish signals or inflation data between now and then could accelerate the move toward rate change.