About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 38% YES. Momentum is falling. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$163.16 (+163%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability38.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -7.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -7.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
- Sentiment divergence: active YES-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$10K
Current Probability38%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 3.6% → 2.3%
631 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert