About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans NO at 84% NO. Large trader flow is active.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$488.24 (+488%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability17.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: +1.0%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: BLarge Trader Flow: ActiveInflowPrice forming
- Price moved +1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: rising
- Volume spike: Volume spiked 66% in 2h — unusual activity
- Large trader flow detected
- Sentiment divergence: active NO-buying pressure
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$103K
Liquidity$29K
Current Probability17%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 7.0% → 3.7%
631 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets5
Anomalies
CriticalVolz=5.1