About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 44% YES. Momentum is strong down. Informed flow observed.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$127.27 (+127%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability44.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Strong down24h Price Change: -12.5%Volume trend: risingLiquidity: CInformed flowPrice forming
- Price dropped -12.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Strong down
- Volume trend: rising
- Informed flow detected
MARKET SENTIMENTBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$9K
Current Probability44%
Resolves in21mo
Low VolatilityVol: 4.4% → 2.7%
632 days until resolution. Price movements are small and decreasing.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
Related Markets6
AI Brief
SpaceX $2.2T IPO valuation sits at 44% YES, pricing in skepticism about a 9x multiple over plausible private market comparables; this remains a long-dated speculative bet on massive growth post-IPO.