About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Outcome uncertain — market split near 54% YES. Momentum is falling.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$85.19 (+85%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability54.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Falling24h Price Change: -3.0%Volume trend: steadyLiquidity: CMixed flowPrice stable for 53 days
- Price dropped -3.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Falling
- Volume trend: steady
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTNeutral
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$10K
Liquidity$49K
Current Probability54%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 1.7% → 1.6%
84 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Good entry point — prices are stable with room to move
Related Markets3
AI Brief
MegaETH reaching >$800M FDV one day after launch is a true coin flip at 54% YES, with cooling momentum (-3.5% in 24h) suggesting uncertainty about hype sustainability. Launch day valuations for airdrops depend heavily on trading volume and buyer enthusiasm in the first hours.