About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 71%.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$40.85 (+41%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability71.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.5%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 29 days
- Price moved -0.5pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$2K
Liquidity$47K
Current Probability71%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.7% → 1.2%
84 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
MegaETH token is expected to launch with significant hype given airdrop buzz and investor interest in new protocol tokens, with markets pricing a 72% probability of exceeding $600M FDV on day one. The catalyst is the token's launch date, likely within the next 2-3 months, and success hinges on community size and distribution mechanisms. Recent price action is slightly negative, suggesting some profit-taking before launch.