About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market strongly expects NO (96% NO).
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$2400.00 (+2400%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability4.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Flat24h Price Change: -0.4%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 153 days
- Price moved -0.4pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Flat
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTStrongly Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$5K
Liquidity$49K
Current Probability4%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 2.2% → 1.8%
84 days until resolution. Price movements are small and steady.
Trending but far out — price may revert
Related Markets3
AI Brief
MegaETH's $3B FDV launch target carries 5% odds, indicating modest baseline skepticism about initial market cap for this airdrop token. The July expiry allows time for launch and performance data; current 96% NO reflects protocol risk and tokenomics uncertainty.