Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
About this market
Resolution rules are set by Polymarket. This market resolves based on whether the stated event occurs by the specified date. Visit Polymarket for full resolution criteria.
AI Analysis
Market leans YES at 72%. Momentum is rising.
No price history available
Quick CalculatorEstimate profit & loss before trading
If Yes wins+$38.89 (+39%)
If No wins-$100.00
Break-even probability72.0%
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
SignalsMomentum: Rising24h Price Change: +1.0%Volume trend: coolingLiquidity: BMixed flowPrice stable for 32 days
- Price moved +1.0pp in the last 24h
- Momentum: Rising
- Volume trend: cooling
- Mixed capital flow
MARKET SENTIMENTBullish
BearishNeutralBullish
24h Volume$57K
Liquidity$81K
Current Probability72%
Resolves in2mo
Low VolatilityVol: 0.9% → 1.3%
83 days until resolution. Price movements are small and increasing.
Trending but far out — price may revert
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AI Brief
Trump announcing an end to Iran military operations by June 30 sits at 70% odds, with the market betting on de-escalation rhetoric within 3 months. The June 30 deadline is the critical catalyst for this resolution.